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Bonds Continued Drifting Weaker Throughout The Day (10yr Hit 4.6%)
May 15, 2026
Bonds Continued Drifting Weaker Throughout The Day Nothing new or interesting happened during the course of the trading day. The key market movers were in place at the start of domestic trading. From an analytical standpoint, the morning commentary adequately recaps the day's bond market motivations. Yields continued drifting higher throughout the session as investors […]
April Housing Inflation Data Fills in The Dots That Went Missing During The Government Shutdown
May 15, 2026
The Bureau of Labor Statistics released a highly technical research paper this week examining how the agency handled missing shelter inflation data during the October 2025 government funding lapse. The issue stemmed from the CPI’s housing survey, which was unable to collect rent data during the shutdown period. With no fresh survey results available, BLS […]
Servicer Retention Fell in Q1, But Remains at Multi-Year Highs
May 15, 2026
Refinance activity continued to recover in the first quarter of 2026, but mortgage servicers retained a smaller share of borrowers despite the stronger lending environment, according to the latest ICE Mortgage Monitor. ICE estimated that roughly 585,000 first-lien refinances totaling $242 billion closed during the quarter, up from a revised 550,000 loans and $234 billion […]
Existing-Home Sales Flat Year Over Year Despite Inventory Gains
May 15, 2026
Existing-home sales edged slightly higher in April, stabilizing after March’s decline as improving affordability and increased inventory provided modest support for buyers. Sales increased 0.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million , matching the pace seen one year ago. “Despite mixed macroeconomic signals—including a record-high stock market and historically low consumer confidence—home […]
Purchase Activity Lifts Mortgage Applications Despite Higher Rates
May 15, 2026
Mortgage applications increased modestly last week, as stronger purchase activity more than offset a slight decline in refinances. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported a 1.7% increase in total application volume on a seasonally adjusted basis for the week ending May 8. The gain was driven entirely by home purchase demand, which continued to show […]
Mortgage Rates Surge Toward 8-Month Highs
May 15, 2026
Mortgage rates are driven by bonds and the bond market hoped to see more evidence of shift toward peace during the 2-day Trump/Xi meeting in China. As soon as Trump got back on the plane to head home, bonds began tanking (i.e. jumping to higher yields). When bond yields spike, mortgage rates follow, and today […]
HELOC, DPA, U/W Fees Waived Products; Delinquencies Edge Higher; Conv. Conforming Changes
May 15, 2026
As the legal and proxy battles are waged among Two Harbors, UWM, and CrossCountry, today I head to New York for the MBA's Secondary & Capital Markets Conference. John Wooden said, “Failing to prepare is preparing to fail” and across the land, over a thousand people are avoiding failure by preparing, lining up sessions, meetings, […]
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